Everettian Confirmation and Sleeping Beauty: Reply to Wilson
نویسنده
چکیده
In Bradley ([2011b]), I offered an analysis of Sleeping Beauty and the Everettian interpretation of quantum mechanics (EQM). I argued that one can avoid a kind of easy confirmation of EQM by paying attention to observation selection effects, that halfers are right about Sleeping Beauty, and that thirders cannot avoid easy confirmation for the truth of EQM. Wilson ([forthcoming]) agrees with my analysis of observation selection effects in EQM, but goes on to, first, defend Elga’s ([2000]) thirder argument on Sleeping Beauty and, second, argue that the analogy I draw between Sleeping Beauty and EQM fails. I will argue that neither point succeeds.
منابع مشابه
A thirder and an Everettian: a reply to Lewis’s ‘Quantum Sleeping Beauty’
This connection is often alluded to, but as far as we know Peter J. Lewis’s ‘Quantum Sleeping Beauty’ (2007a) is the first attempt to examine it explicitly. Lewis claims that the two debates are not independent: to be specific, he argues that accepting the Everettian interpretation of quantum mechanics requires you to be a ‘halfer’ about Sleeping Beauty, in opposition to the more widely accepte...
متن کاملQeauty and the books: a response to Lewis's quantum sleeping beauty problem
In his 2007 paper “Quantum Sleeping Beauty”, Peter Lewis poses a problem for appeals to subjective probability in the Everett interpretation of quantum mechanics. Lewis’s argument hinges on parallels between the traditional “sleeping beauty” problem in epistemology and his quantum variant. These two cases, Lewis argues, treat probability differently despite the fact that they share important ep...
متن کاملSynchronic Bayesian updating and the Sleeping Beauty problem: reply to Pust
I maintain, in defending “thirdism,” that Sleeping Beauty should do Bayesian updating after assigning the “preliminary probability” 1/4 to the statement S: “Today is Tuesday and the coin flip is heads.” (This preliminary probability obtains relative to a specific proper subset I of her available information.) Pust objects that her preliminary probability for S is really zero, because she could ...
متن کاملمراتب زیبایی، تصدیق و تحسین زیبایی برگرفته از مفهوم حسن در قرآن
In Islamic standpoints, many issues are expressed about the beauty. When it comes to talk about beauty in Islam and the Holy Quran context, the first step towards creating perception and defining the criteria for beauty is perhaps attaining a logical and specific system of definition from the beauty concept in the so called context. By referring to the written texts in this field by philosopher...
متن کاملProbability in the Everett World: Comments on Wallace and Greaves∗
It is often objected that the Everett interpretation of QM cannot make sense of quantum probabilities, in one or both of two ways: either it can’t make sense of probability at all, or it can’t explain why probability should be governed by the Born rule. David Deutsch has attempted to meet these objections. He argues not only that rational decision under uncertainty makes sense in the Everett in...
متن کامل